Futurology of the Development of Private Individual Sports Clubs in Iran with a Structural Analysis Approach

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Reza Nosrati Beigzadeh 1
Mohammad Rahim Najafzadeh 2
Hamid Janani 3
Habib M ohamadpour Uagini 4
1 PhD student in Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz,Tabriz, Iran
2 Assistant Professor of Physical Education Department, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran3.
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran
4 Assistant Professor, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad
10.22034/ntsmj.2023.721117
Abstract
The private sector of sports has an effective role in the development of public sports, championships, as well as goals such as job creation and increasing the productivity of sports facilities and equipment. Futurism is the scientific attitude of man to the problem of discovering the future.The main purpose of this study is to study the future of the development of private sports clubs in Iran with an interaction analysis approach. This approach is used to plan for the future by analyzing the direct and indirect effects of the key drivers of the development of Iran's private sports clubs. The present research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of nature، based on new methods of futurology، research، analysis and exploration، which has been done by combining quantitative and qualitative models. The statistical population of the study included executives and academic elites who had sufficient expertise and experience on the subject of developing private clubs. The sampling method was purposeful and the sample size was determined to be 14 people. Data was collected through open questionnaires, interviews and document review ،and by weighting Delphi questionnaires. The collected data was analyzed using Micmac software and the final analysis was performed on 33 recursive matrices. According to studies and opinions of 8 people, the main variables are: "Effective appropriate welfare facilities, the development of support and incentive requirements, paving the way for attracting sponsors, creating differentiation, interaction with the media, infrastructure and technology," the use of sports diplomacy for developing private clubs, ، the "managerial factor" were identified as important components and indicators in the subject. What can be understood from the status of the distribution page of variables affecting the development status of Iranian private sports clubs is the instability of the system. Most variables are scattered around the diagonal axis of the plane. Except for a few cases that show a high impact on the system, the rest of the variables are almost identical to each other. Among the 33 variables studied in this study۵ ، key variables affecting the future development of Iranian private sports clubs have been selected. Finally, it can be concluded that the identified factors are a roadmap to improve the development of Iranian private sports clubs.
Keywords
Futures Study
Individual sports
MICMAC
Private Clubs
Structural Analysis

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